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abstractdream View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Nov 2013 at 02:00
Ok, 5 Whys:

1. Why is there a war involving a major amount of the largest alliances in this game?
Because several alliances declared against several others.

2. Why did those several alliances declare war?
They are trying to stop a single alliance, namely the Night Crusaders.

3. Why did they start wars with several alliances instead of just NC?
Because they believe NC is controlled by these several alliances.

4. Why do they believe NC is controlled by these several alliances?
Because they were allies during a previous period of war.

5. Why do they believe these allies can control NC?
Because that is how they would do things if it were them.

So, root cause of this war is that the vCrow side of this believe H? should have reined in NC and since they didn't they feel H? and all of their allies must be attacked.

Solution? Yeah, I don't know how to convince vCrow and all their allies that if they had a problem with NC they should have dealt with NC. I guess they believe H? would have just attacked them so they did it first. Seems pretty flimsy for a war that will cause so much damage but such is life in Illy...
Bonfyr Verboo
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Vanerin View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Nov 2013 at 02:19
Wow... I don't think I have seen such an organized list of assumptions before...

Abstract, have you heard of Occam's Razor?
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Nov 2013 at 03:33
Actually Vanerin,
This is exactly how the 5-Why's are used.  Good job abstractdream.
I am certified to say this btw ^.
I may not agree to the approach taken, but it does lend itself to The Current State.

The 5-Why's is a common-sense tool to understand 'what is really going on'.  Once this is identified, true counter-measures can be put in place.  Counter-measures like actually communicating in an open and real time manner, rather than running to a friend because some other friend took your ice cream(or bacon).

Had the opposition used something like this, or a more methodical approach, we might not have posts like 'why we are fighting?', or 'so-and-so should control someone(s) not in their alliance', or even better - 'Let's plot a war of revenge against this-other-so-and-so'.
That is the past however, and is what contributed to The Current State.  We need a better Future State.

Humbly,
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Nov 2013 at 04:04
Originally posted by abstractdream abstractdream wrote:

I guess they believe H? would have just attacked them so they did it first. Seems pretty flimsy for a war that will cause so much damage but such is life in Illy...

...They didn't actually, though.   Every alliance they are fighting declared or indirectly acted in the defense of NC (excepting possibly RES?).  H? entered the war of their own accord.  
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Nov 2013 at 04:33
Hmm, perhaps I don't understand 5 Whys very well (extremely probable), but I thought they were used to help reduce assumptions. I only see one (possibly two) of Abstract's points that are firmly grounded in evidence.

Also 5 Whys may not be the most useful tool in this conversation. It generally fails when there are multiple root failures. And I think multiple root failures are highly likely in this instance because there are so many different groups of people with different approaches. Each group and approach could have it's own root failure.

~Vanerin

P.S. If I am misunderstanding anything about the 5 Whys, please do educate me!
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Nov 2013 at 05:28
The 5 Whys seem to be some what accurate from what has been said here and in gc.

I would amend #3 to say 'Because they think NC either controls or is in cahoots with these alliances' and the root cause would be better interpreted as 'they had no choice but to declare on H? once they sided with NC and declared war on EE'. I've heard many, many people state that TVM was considered a feeder alliance for NC.

I could be wrong with part of this but I think it's accurate from my interpretation of events.

Edited by Epidemic - 04 Nov 2013 at 05:28
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Nov 2013 at 09:30
Originally posted by Grego Grego wrote:

If you didn't notice, it is Deranzin's job to stretch, chew and blow facts like bubblegum, till everyone forget what is the subject :)


And every time you do not like the facts your only contribution to a topic each time is to come out of the blue and say all those nice things about me and NOTHING ELSE. Wink No facts and arguments from Grego ... just slander ... great way for a discussion dude Tongue

Someone's got a problem here and it sure ain't me ! LOL

Originally posted by Meagh Meagh wrote:

Originally posted by Deranzin Deranzin wrote:

So, MY "so called 'revenge' war" .?. Yeah right ... Get your facts straight dude and then try to pretend to represent "most people" Tongue LOL


Epi's point is still valid.  Revenge might be Hathaldir's motivation, but let's not pretend it's the motivation for everyone ('SOON, Shade, others and half the Crowfed' included). - M.


No, it is not, because it does not provide any counterpoint or data or facts.

Some of them want revenge (which is a fact epidemic ignored). Others, like Tamaeon, made it clear that they just want power and care for nothing else (another fact epidemic ignored). Others, I cannot fathom what they might want, but seems to me that those two first groups would make a very natural team, as objectives go, and when people join that group they either agree with that agenda or it coincides with their own, wouldn't you agree .?.

So, when you have a group of people consisting of people that want revenge and people that want power and other people that join them for not known (at least in public) reasons, then you can bet your money that those people's agenda is at least served by the first two groups objectives.

Ergo you can either call this war a matter of revenge or a matter of power-hunger or both, with all three cases being correct and based on actual data.

Edit :
Originally posted by Epidemic Epidemic wrote:

I've heard many, many people state that TVM was considered a feeder alliance for NC.


So, what you hear from many people, is automatically true .?.  LOL

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G0ZZJXw4MTA

Clap





Edited by Deranzin - 04 Nov 2013 at 09:37
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Redfist View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Nov 2013 at 10:17
I am afraid that Deranzin's post do seem to move way off topic.  At first I thought that it was just his way of expressing himself but then I noticed that it happens all to frequently and usually in threads that hold views that he doesn't agree with. Additionally he always tends to personalise and enflame issues and the above post is an example of that.

I could give a number of factual examples of this but that would derail this thread.

Getting back on subject as to why are we (you)are  all fighting.  You are fighting because players like Bonfyr Verboo of TVM, Sir Brad of NC and KP of H? want you to fight. Their idea of fun is what you are experiencing in Illy now. They want Illy to be a war game in which they have more or less a good advantage built over a period time to attack, belittle, siege and humiliate other players. They do not value the crafting, marketing and roleplaying aspects of the game as much as they do "Hard Core"  warmongering.  Why is that?

Well , for me , Deranzin summed it up the other day in GC when he stated :

" It's fun. I get a big kick out of it"




Edited by Redfist - 04 Nov 2013 at 10:19
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Nov 2013 at 10:55
Originally posted by Redfist Redfist wrote:

I am afraid that Deranzin's post do seem to move way off topic.  At first I thought that it was just his way of expressing himself but then I noticed that it happens all to frequently and usually in threads that hold views that he doesn't agree with. Additionally he always tends to personalise and enflame issues and the above post is an example of that.

I could give a number of factual examples of this but that would derail this thread.

Getting back on subject as to why are we (you)are  all fighting.  You are fighting because players like Bonfyr Verboo of TVM, Sir Brad of NC and KP of H? want you to fight. Their idea of fun is what you are experiencing in Illy now. They want Illy to be a war game in which they have more or less a good advantage built over a period time to attack, belittle, siege and humiliate other players. They do not value the crafting, marketing and roleplaying aspects of the game as much as they do "Hard Core"  warmongering.  Why is that?

Well , for me , Deranzin summed it up the other day in GC when he stated :

" It's fun. I get a big kick out of it"



Actually I was there when he used those words, and they were in no way used in relation to the war at all but in an answer as to why he was responding to the troll who was also present at the time. Lets at least try to use quotes in the right context.
Kaggen is my human half
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Tamaeon View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Nov 2013 at 11:00
Originally posted by Kumomoto Kumomoto wrote:

So... what we are facing right now is, frankly, a product of H? and it's allies' clemency and not destroying its enemies. If we had, this would never have happened and we'd never be facing these enemies now. We could have destroyed Valar, EE, and all the other enemies when we beat them but chose to not run these people out of the game in the belief that they would get over the war they lost and grow... It seems the thing that grew was their desire for revenge.

I hope this puts things into perspective.

it most certainly does.


Edited by Tamaeon - 04 Nov 2013 at 11:02
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