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Mogul 
Forum Warrior
Joined: 23 Sep 2011
Status: Offline
Points: 233 |
 Posted: 19 Oct 2012 at 18:21 |
As we where forced out of tournament my casualties summaries are no more used. But maybe for those still participating, this can be interesting (especially compared with previous tournament casualties):
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Loud Whispers
Wordsmith
Joined: 31 Jul 2012
Location: Saltmines
Status: Offline
Points: 196 |
Posted: 19 Oct 2012 at 18:51 |
 Mogul wrote:
As we where forced out of tournament my casualties summaries are no more used. But maybe for those still participating, this can be interesting (especially compared with previous tournament casualties):
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Woah, thanks a lot!
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Sisren
Forum Warrior
Joined: 03 Feb 2012
Location: PA, USA
Status: Offline
Points: 446 |
Posted: 19 Oct 2012 at 20:14 |
A 3 period moving average may give a greater degree of confidence in the trends. Are you taking the average of period 0, -1, -2 and comparing to period -1, -2, -3 for the trending (can give an indication of a trend is in ascension or descent)?
Also, are you taking into account the alliances at war, and not in the tournament?
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allamagoosa
Greenhorn
Joined: 17 Jul 2012
Location: California, USA
Status: Offline
Points: 78 |
Posted: 19 Oct 2012 at 21:47 |
Nothing like that at all. This was the most basic of extrapolation. I simply calculated the average slope of the line over 2 days and projected a line 5 days into the future based off of that slope.
As someone else indicated earlier this sort of extrapolation in this type of scenario has very large error bars for anything more then a couple of days out.
I really did it more to start a discussion and start to think about what can be done.
Cheers,
-A
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Silverlake
Forum Warrior
Joined: 15 Oct 2011
Status: Offline
Points: 417 |
Posted: 19 Oct 2012 at 23:12 |
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I wish all those competing in the tournament GOOD LUCK
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Grainne
Greenhorn
Joined: 23 May 2011
Location: US
Status: Offline
Points: 96 |
Posted: 19 Oct 2012 at 23:41 |
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Thank you Silverlake; odd as it may sound, I wish more were competing in the tournament....
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The_Dude
Postmaster General
Joined: 06 Apr 2010
Location: Texas
Status: Offline
Points: 2396 |
Posted: 20 Oct 2012 at 00:18 |
This tourney will have an asterisks next to the results indicating a "players' strike due to wars."
Edited by The_Dude - 20 Oct 2012 at 00:18
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Silverlake
Forum Warrior
Joined: 15 Oct 2011
Status: Offline
Points: 417 |
Posted: 20 Oct 2012 at 01:41 |
Grainne wrote:
Thank you Silverlake; odd as it may sound, I wish more were competing in the tournament.... |
You are more than welcome Grainne, as you may know I took first place in my league in tourney #4 and throughly enjoyed working with my alliance to win tourney #5, it is with a heavy heart I can not compete in this tourney, but my mission to clean Illy of bullies calls me away. Take care
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Grainne
Greenhorn
Joined: 23 May 2011
Location: US
Status: Offline
Points: 96 |
Posted: 20 Oct 2012 at 04:40 |
No, I didn't know that! Congrats!
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Tourney Score 5 Day Linear Extrapolation